![]() ![]() But I guess historical rules only work 'til they stop working. Going into last night, based on historic trends, Democrats could expect to lose 20 to 30 seats. A lot of pollsters and analysts just got this wrong. Look covering politics is an exercise in humility. LIASSON: Well, this was the biggest surprise of the night. And yet, when Domenico Montanaro, our colleague, was on the program a little bit earlier today, he said he was having trouble even believing the numbers when he added them up, how narrow it is, how few seats Republicans might win. It's still considered likely the Republicans will narrowly capture the House. INSKEEP: Well, let's talk through the House results here. More Republicans are willing to say it's time to move on from him. So I would just say that if Donald Trump was an 800-pound gorilla going into this race, he's a 700-pound gorilla now. So - and we also know that in Wisconsin, the Republican gubernatorial candidate, Ted Michaels - who famously said if he wins, no Republican will ever lose Wisconsin again - he lost the governor's race. We do know that a lot of Trump-endorsed candidates who were election deniers - they're almost one and the same thing - lost or were underperforming.īlake Masters, Kari Lake is actually underperforming - she was doing pretty well in the polls - Don Bolduc in New Hampshire. These are jobs that are very important because they oversee the rules and the mechanics about elections. But we still are waiting to hear, for instance, Kari Lake in Arizona, Mark Finchem, who's running for the secretary of state in Arizona. But he wanted his candidates to reject that. And we'll remember that dozens of judges and thousands of election officials from both political parties affirmed that Trump lost the election. INSKEEP: So we just heard about Mark Finchem there, one of many candidates Donald Trump endorsed who were essentially required to tell Trump's version of 2020. MARA LIASSON, BYLINE: Good morning, Steve. Let's get some analysis now from our national political correspondent, Mara Liasson. ![]()
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